Heinz, here are some comments that P Eliades made on the LW Forum today:
I will comment more on this later, but as regular long waves readers know, the Steve Puetz research shows that all the important crashes he researched (1637 Tulipmania, 1720 Mississippi, 1720 South Sea, 1857 US stocks, 1869 US stocks, 1873 US stocks, 1929 US stocks, 1980 Gold and silver,1987 US stocks, 1990 Tokyo stocks, 1997 Hong Kong stocks, 1998 German stocks) have seen the panic phases of the crashes come at the time of the two equinoxes. Specifically, the panics were entirely encompassed within one of the following periods: February 4 through April 5September 3 through October 29 It is not our calculation, but Puetz claims through mathematical probability that the odds of a 3 week event (panic phases normally last around 3 weeks he claims) randomly occurring entirely within one of two time windows of either 60 or 56 days 12 of 12 times is one in ten billion. Tie this in with Puetz's research on eclipse cycles and you have some real fun. Now Dan and that other guy will claim I'm predicting a crash again. Am I? Hmmmmm. I'll have more to say in the not too distant future.Peter Eliades Stockmarket Cycles |