I hadn't seen Russ Kelly's website before, but I found it interesting that EVEN HE doesn't seem to believe we're heading for an IT driven societal and economic collapse.
Is there anything in his 20 most likely scenarios that provide justification for complete panic??
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russkelly.com
Links to lists of "20 most likely problems in the Year/2000" by others on the "Panel of Experts" is at bottom of page.
Note: These are the most likely United States problems. Not all locations will experience all of these problems, and not all of the problems will occur at the same time. The peak period for problems will be January through March 2000, with a tapering off of problems and improving conditions throughout the remainder of 2000. By the end of 2000, most facets of society in the U.S. will be back to nearly normal conditions. By early 2001, the U.S. will be engaged in trying to catch up to a huge pent up demand for products and services.
Russ Kelly's list of 20 Most Likely Events in 2000
Reduced air travel early in the year
Few elective surgeries early in the year
Telecommunication problems and satellite failures because of Cycle 23 Solar Max
Frequent electric power "brownouts" and at least one prolonged power outage of 2 to 5 days
Scattered water supply contamination and interrupted service
Scattered waste treatment failures and harmful spillage
911 system failures and reduced capacity/services
Traffic control system failures in larger cities
Gas price increases & rationing
A major transportation calamity (air, shipping, or rail)
Major layoffs and business failures in travel and tourism industry
Las Vegas, Miami, coastal Carolinas, Colorado esp. hard hit
An emergency banking holidays due to unfounded public fears
But U.S. banks and money supply is safe
Temporary closing of assembly lines and manufacturing plants due to raw material delays
Nationalization of key segments of transportation industry
Reduced work week and smaller paychecks
Major aggravations during first few weeks of 2000.
Access denied to offices
Elevators that don't work (inter-connectivity with security & fire systems that fail)
Non-functioning ATM's
Lines for gas and food
Computer networks that fail
Internet access denied
Telephone, fax, and Email interruptions
Lost records
Y2K rage and shocking rise in aberrant behavior
Plummeting sales—shocking in scope during first quarter
Reduced exports
Eroded consumer confidence
Less consumer income
Use up "just in case" inventories
Strong economic rebound in U.S. in second half of year
Reduced imports
Pent up demand
Lots of lawsuits |
