<all of us, from Ken to Cheeky Kid--are making guesses based upon the best information available to us, filtered through our own experiences. We all have different personal situations and local states of readiness that will make rational different responses to Y2K. Some areas may experience severe disruption, while others may not be affected at all>
I agree generally with this, with the following exceptions:
...All areas will be affected, even if indirectly, due to CASCADING
(both forward and backward, even cross-cascading) effects from those areas that are severely affected, espically economically, at the absolute minimum.
...Thus, all of us, repeat, all of us will absolulely be affected, espically economically, at the absolute minimum.
....I don't agree with your word "guess". My conclusions and predictions are based on a logical analysis, deductions, and
extrapolations, and further, predicated on envisioning all reasonable-case senarios.
You are correct, obviously, in that no one knows, or can know with certainty, before the fact.
All we can do is assign DEGREES OF PROBABILITY to various potential senarios, based on WHAT WE HAVE STUDIED, AND HOW WE ANALYZE SUCH DATA, AND OUR SKILLS OF DATA AND LOGIC ANALYSIS,and EXTRAPOLATIONS on them, minus emotional barriers blocking such. |
