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Microcap & Penny Stocks : STRU
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To: Jim B who wrote (463)7/24/1999 8:12:00 PM
From: Jim B  Read Replies (1) of 757
 
more thoughts on DD:: for those that are long and asking why I might sell at 30cents.. I did say "might"

I'm not saying I"ll sell at 30cents.. just saying that initially for a momentum play it might only be good for 30cents to 40cents... but my DD is starting to lead me to a higher target for even the short term.. remember that DD doesn' necessarily mean the stock will go up or down; short term anything can happen..

but the DD if solid enough will lead people to accumulate on dips and sustain and grow any runs.. so that's what's important.. without it ; it remains a momo and will top out.. fall back and die for another 6months..

the more I read.. the more it looks like this isn't a momo but rather a stock on the virge of breaking out..both technically and operationally.. but they need some contracts within the next few weeks.. and the bigger the better..

if this stock can move into the 30cents to 40cents range and a contract is announced from that point.. BEFORE August 8th as they goto this convention.. then it would run from there.. maybe cap around 75cents or so.. fall back on some profit taking.. based around 50cents.. then after the convention.. if they could name other contract.. it could run to $1.00 as some suggest.. this all depends on WHO they sign and HOW BIG... one time deal... yearly contract... several year contract... set amounts.. set fees... per commission fees... per quanitity ... all that factors in.. the bigger the better... say the first contract generates $5million bucks... in one year.. then that would be about 5cents per share earnings and multiple of say 12 would be $.60 minus whatever current debt they have and any further dilution ; just remember that walstreet typically likes to evaluate stocks based not only current earnings ratios but also on further potential..

we'll just have to see how it plays out.. but it looks more like I'll be buying at 30cents instead of selling..

still more to do and more to read... this is my money and I won't throw it away blindly..

momo plays I'll buy and sell and not even know what the company does... plays that I want to hold longer than a day or two.. I do my homework -- so just in doing my DD here I'm doing something I don't normally waste my valuable time doing... 1 out of 50stocks do I even bother to do DD on with penny stocks. I've traded hundreds of stocks this year.. hundreds... only about 12 have caught my eye well enough to do DD on: of those only half did I buy into and hold: EDIG, SNMM, OGPS, SYCD, SPAZ.. maybe STRU is next?? might have missed one or two.. hungry and tired.. got some errands to do..see ya'll later.. have fun

jim
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