KEY difference between DoomeRealists & DUHnialists/ Pollycrakers: Its IRRECONCILABLE! Here is why!
I/we see the entire senario unfolding as a TOTALLY INTERRELATED, INTERDEPENDENT, SYSTEMIC effect/s and impacts, PREDICATED ON COLLAPSES OCCURRING DUE TO THE RESULTANT DOMINO EFFECTS (DOWN, UP AND CROSS STREAM), i.e., ALONG THE ENTIRE CHAIN IN EACH POTENTIAL CASE, INCLUDING INTERRELATED LINKS OF EACH CHAIN, AND THE INTERRELATIONSHIP OF THE GLOBAL DIVISION OF LABOR UPON WHICH ALL IS DEPENDENT, while you guys:
ADD (key word), in a very general sense, the number of projected conpliant or 'ready' entities, minus the non-compliant, NOT factoring in the above, or at least to any SIGNIFICANT degree:
RESULTINGLY, your predicts are based on more simple 'additive' senarios, while ours are based on potential 'arthmetic', actually 'exponential' disruptions.! Resultingly, your conclusions, based on such 'additive' models, will, of course be MUCH more optimistic than ours based on the arithmetic/exponential model.
While your camp, upon seeing each announced major y2k- ready or even compliant report as great news (however unconcerned about the veracity and accuracy of them) which results in your becoming more and more rosy-cheeked, confidental, and optimisitc, we see each such report/s as:
1. relatively unimportant, as the systemic nature and results will be unaffected significantly by a dozen, hunred, or thousands of such
'happy smile' reports, and/or:
2. based on other reports we read, we do not accept any/most/all of such "be even happier today people than ever before, because our company will be ok as long as our vendors are okay!" statements of any company, or govt agency, as containing either truth, full disclosure, or even accurate statements.
The above major contrast explains precisely why our postions are, and will and must remain totally mutually exclusive, incompatible and irreconcible!
NO change CAN or WILL occur in either camp simply due to acquiring new information about a, some or many positive or negative reports on companies" successes or failures in remediation or testing results:
a change by either camp can ONLY occur when one changes the said PRIMARTY STANDARD/MODEL used to evaluate any data read! |
