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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club
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To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (7173)7/25/1999 9:54:00 PM
From: KurtSS  Read Replies (1) of 15132
 
Justa,

In a previous post LIG said:
Here is my prediction. Bob will not call a sell signal until after the market has declined at least 15%, if at all (let's go with the S&P).

I guess this is LIG's worst case scenario, relative to Bob's bear market predictive abilities. If Bob doesn't call the bear until the S&P has declined 15%, which means I will then be out or short the market, then Bob will likely save me approximately an additional 5-35% of my money versus Buy & Hope. This assumes he calls the subsequent re-entry point accurately. So, let's say my 5-35% hypothetical savings drops to 5%-25% versus Buy & Hope. I would still take this over weathering the full force of a severe bear market.

Of course, based on Bob's track record, I think Bob will do much better than this worse case scenario.

BTW, I kind of liked Bob's tie on NBR.

Best,

KurtSS
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