SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (7173)7/25/1999 10:54:00 PM
From: lifeisgood  Read Replies (2) of 15132
 
Justa,

It's not fair to copy part of a sentence and argue against something I never said. The full sentence quote is . Bob will not call a sell signal until after the market has declined at least 15%, if at all (let's go with the S&P) Bob will not risk giving a premature sell signal and will instead wait till the market already tanked before "predicting" the bear market.

This is a testable prediction (in scientific terms). After all, if a prediction model has any predictive validity, it must accurately predict something.

So let's see what happens.

So, as I posted previously, If, based on his timing model, Bob predicts one [a bear market] before it occurs (and issues a sell signal), I will have been proven wrong. If he issues a sell signal after it occurs (or never) I will have been proven correct.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News