Joe,
Good news - until one considers the part about...
"Currently, scientists at several tracking stations worldwide have identified 15 percent to 20 percent of the potentially Earth-crushing asteroids.
Scientists at major tracking stations in California, Massachusetts and Arizona are working to find 90 percent of the biggest near-Earth objects within a decade."
In other words, mankind has yet to find 85% of those earth-bashing rocks, and they'll take a decade to make lots of progress on this.
Leads one to quadruple the probabilities for now while anticipating 2010. BUT, the glass is half full, by then we'll all be smarter (right?), and the probabilities will go back down to 1 in 100,000 years.
909s, Hansi |