Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

AMZN 247.35

+0.4%

Jan 9 9:30 AM EST

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To: Paul Viapiano who wrote (70916)	7/30/1999 6:00:00 PM
From: GST	Read Replies (2) of 164684

Paul -- AMZN will fail at much of what it tries to do as it tries to do more and more. It does some things well now, but it will lose its ability to execute as it grows and diversifies -- growth and diversification will make the company much more difficult to manage. It is clearly at risk of going bankrupt -- the faster it grows and diversifies, the greater the burn rate and the greater the risk. If it falters, or if the market shuts the financing window, they are road kill. AMZN is a long shot. And it is going to get priced that way between now and Christmas. Sure, it could double in value -- once it drops to 10 or 20 dollars post-split. And that is the time to play it -- as a beaten down stock that just might survive. Not as an overpriced piece of dog doo doo with poor chances of making it in an increasingly hostile investment climate.

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