Prospectus Summary (Part 3)--RISK FACTORS
You should consider carefully the following risks, together with all other information included in this prospectus before you decide to buy our common stock. Please keep these risks in mind when reading this prospectus, including any forward-looking statements appearing in this prospectus. If any of the following risks actually occurs, our business, financial condition or results of operations would likely suffer materially. As a result, the trading price of our common stock may decline, and you could lose all or part of the money you paid to buy our common stock.
Risks relating to our business
Our extremely limited operating history makes it difficult to evaluate our business and prospects
We commenced operations in March 1998 and only recently began to market and sell our services. We began offering commercial service in Stamford, Connecticut in May 1998. Several members of our senior management team an
other employees have only recently joined us and therefore have worked together for only a short period of time. Accordingly, you have limited information about our company with which to evaluate our business, strategies and performance and an investment in our common stock.
Because the high-speed data communications industry is new and rapidly evolving, we cannot predict its future growth or ultimate size
The high-speed data communications industry is in the early stages of development and is subject to rapid and significant technological change. Since this industry is new and because the technologies available for high-speed data communications services are rapidly evolving, we cannot accurately predict the rate at which the market for our services will grow, if at all, or whether emerging technologies will render our services less competitive or obsolete. If the market for our services fails to develop or grows more slowly than anticipated, our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected. Many providers of high-speed data communication services are testing products from numerous suppliers for various applications, and these suppliers have not broadly adopted an industry standard. In addition, certain industry groups are in the process of trying to establish standards which could limit the types of technologies we could use. Certain critical issues concerning commercial use of DSL technology for Internet access, including security, reliability, ease and cost of access and quality of service, remain unresolved and may impact the growth of these services.
We have incurred losses and have experienced negative operating cash flow to date and expect our losses and negative operating cash flow to continue and to increase
We have incurred significant losses and experienced negative operating cash flow for each month since our formation. We expect to continue to incur significant losses and negative operating cash flow for the foreseeable future. If our revenue does not grow as expected or capital and operating expenditures exceed our plans, our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations will be materially adversely affected. As of June 30, 1999, we had an accumulated deficit of approximately $11,689,000. We cannot be certain if or when we will be profitable or if or when we will generate positive operating cash flow. We expect our operating expenses to increase significantly as we expand our business. In addition, we expect to make significant additional capital
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expenditures during the remainder of 1999 and in subsequent years. We also expect to substantially increase our operating expenditures, particularly network and operations and sales and marketing expenditures, as we implement our business plan. However, our revenue may not increase despite this increased spending.
Our business model is unproven, and may not be successful
We do not know whether our business model and strategy will be successful. If the assumptions underlying our business model are not valid or we are unable to implement our business plan, achieve the predicted level of market penetration or obtain the desired level of pricing of our services for sustained periods, our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected. We have adopted a different strategy than other DSL providers. We focus on selling directly to small and medium sized businesses in second and third tier cities. In contrast, other DSL providers sell services primarily to Internet service providers and others who, in turn, resell these services to end users through their sales forces. I
addition, many other DSL providers are currently focused primarily on offering their services in large metropolitan areas. Certain of our target markets are within the larger metropolitan areas where other DSL providers are focused on providing service. Our unproven business model makes it difficult to predict the extent to which our services will achieve market acceptance. To be successful, we must deploy our network in a significant number of our selected markets and convince our target customers to utilize our service. As of June 30, 1999, we provided service or had installed equipment in only 24 cities. It is possible that we may never be able to deploy our network as planned, achieve significant market acceptance, favorable operating results or profitability.
Our failure to achieve or sustain market acceptance at desired pricing levels could impair our ability to achieve profitability or positive cash flow
Prices for digital communication services have fallen historically, a trend we expect will continue. Accordingly, we cannot predict to what extent we may need to reduce our prices to remain competitive or whether we will be able to sustain future pricing levels as our competitors introduce competing services or similar services at lower prices. Our failure to achieve or sustain market acceptance at desired pricing levels could impair our ability to achieve profitability or positive cash flow, which would have a material adverse effect on our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
If we fail to recruit qualified personnel in a timely manner and retain our employees, we will not be able to execute our business plan
To meet our business plan, we need to hire a substantial number of qualified personnel, particularly sales and marketing personnel. If we are unable to recruit qualified personnel in a timely manner or to retain our employees, we will not be able to execute our business plan. Our industry is characterized by intense competition for, and aggressive recruiting of, skilled personnel, as well as a high level of employee mobility. Many of our future employees must be recruited to work locally in the new markets where we intend to establish a presence. The combination of our local sales and marketing strategy and the competitive nature of our industry may make it difficult to hire qualified personnel on a timely basis and to retain our employees.
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Our management team has little experience working together, and the loss of key personnel could adversely affect our business
We depend on a small number of executive officers and other members of senior management to work effectively as a team, to execute our business strategy and business plan, and to manage employees who will be located throughout the United States. The loss of key managers or their failure to work effectively as a team could have a material adverse effect on our business and prospects. Our senior management has worked together for only a short period of time and may not work well together as a management team. Competition for qualified executives in the data communication services industry is intense and there are a limited number of persons with comparable experience. We do not have employment agreements with any of our executive officers, so any of these individuals may terminate his employment at any time.
Our failure to establish the necessary infrastructure to support our business and to manage our growth could strain our resources and adversely affect our business and financial performance
Our business plan anticipates that we will service in a significant number of new cities and add a significant number of new employees in geographically- dispersed areas. This rapid growth will continue to place a significant strain on our management, financial controls, operations, personnel and othe
resources. Our failure to manage our rapid growth could have a material adverse effect on our ability to integrate expanding operations, the quality of our services and our ability to recruit, manage and retain key personnel. If we do not institute adequate financial and reporting systems, managerial controls, and procedures to manage and operate from multiple geographically-dispersed locations, our operations will be materially and adversely affected. We are currently implementing an operations support system to help manage customer service, bill customers, process customer orders and coordinate with vendors and contractors. Implementation of this system, which we expect to be substantially completed by the end of 1999, could be delayed or, when implemented, could cause disruptions in service or billing. In addition, we are currently implementing a new financial and reporting system which will interact with our operations support system. To manage our growth effectively, we must successfully implement these systems on a timely basis, and continually expand and upgrade these systems as our operations expand.
Disappointing quarterly revenue or operating results could cause the price of our common stock to fall
Our quarterly revenue and operating results are difficult to predict and may fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter. If our quarterly revenue or operating results fall below the expectations of investors or security analysts, the price of our common stock could fall substantially. Our quarterly revenue and operating results may fluctuate as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are outside our control, including:
. amount and timing of expenditures relating to the rollout of our infrastructure and services;
. ability to obtain and the timing of necessary regulatory approvals;
. rate at which we are able to attract customers within our target markets and our ability to retain these customers at sufficient aggregate revenue levels;
. ability to deploy our network on a timely basis;
. availability of financing to continue our expansion;
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. technical difficulties or network downtime;
. availability of space in traditional telephone companies' central offices and timing of the installation of our equipment in those spaces; and
. introduction of new services or technologies by our competitors and resulting pressures on the pricing of our service.
The failure of our customers to pay their bills on a timely basis could adversely affect our cash flow
Our target customers consist of small and medium sized businesses. We anticipate having to bill and collect numerous relatively small customer accounts. We may experience difficulty in collecting amounts due on a timely basis. Our failure to collect accounts receivable owed to us by our customers on a timely basis could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and cash flow.
Our failure to develop and maintain good relationships with marketing partners in a local service market could adversely affect our ability to obtain and retain customers in that market
In addition to marketing through our direct sales force, we rely on relationships with local marketing partners, such as integrators of computer systems and networks and consultants. These partners recommend our services to their clients, provide us with referrals and help us build a local presence in each market. We may not be able to identify, and maintain good relationships with, quality marketing partners or assure you that they will recommend our services rather than our competitors' services to their customers. Our failure to identify, and maintain good relationships with, quality marketing partners could have a material adverse effect on our ability to obtain and retain customers in a market and, as a result, our business would suffer.
Our success depends on negotiating and entering into interconnection agreements with traditional telephone companies
We must enter into and renew interconnection agreements with traditional telephone companies in each of our target markets in order to provide service in that market. These agreements govern, among other things, the price and other terms regarding our location of equipment in the telephone companies' central offices and our lease of copper telephone lines that connect those central offices to our customers. To date, we have entered into agreements with Ameritech, Bell Atlantic, BellSouth, SBC (including SNET) and GTE, which govern our relationships in 21 states. Delays in obtaining interconnection agreements would delay our entrance into target markets and could have a material adverse effect on our business and prospects. Our interconnection agreements have limited terms of one to two years and we cannot assure you that new agreements will be negotiated or that existing agreements will be extended on terms favorable to us. Interconnection agreements are also subject to oversight by the FCC, state telecommunication regulators and the courts. These governmental authorities may modify the terms or prices of our interconnection agreements in ways that could adversely affect our ability to deliver service and our business and results of operations.
Under federal law, traditional telephone companies have an obligation to negotiate with us in good faith to enter into interconnection agreements. If no agreement can be reached, either side may petition the applicable state telecommunications regulators to arbitrate remaining disagreements. These arbitration proceedings can last for many months. Moreover, the state regulators must approve
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any interconnection agreement resulting from negotiation or arbitration, and any party may appeal an adverse decision by the state regulators to federal district court. The potential cost in resources and delay from this process would delay our entry into markets and could harm our ability to compete in these markets, and we cannot assure you that a state regulatory authority would resolve disputes in our favor. Moreover, the FCC rules governing pricing standards for access to the networks of the traditional telephone companies are currently being challenged in federal court. If the courts overturn the FCC's pricing rules, the FCC may adopt a new pricing methodology that would require us to pay a higher price to traditional telephone companies for access to suitable facilities and lines. This could have a detrimental effect on our business.
Many of the traditional local telephone companies, including those created by AT&T's divestiture of its local telephone service business, are conducting technical or market trials or have begun deploying DSL-based services. In addition, these companies also currently offer high-speed data communications services that use other technologies. Consequently, these companies have certain incentives to delay:
.our entry into, and renewals of, interconnection agreements
.our access to their central offices to install our equipment and provide our services,
.provisioning acceptable transmission facilities and copper telephone lines, and
.our introduction and expansion of our services.
Any such delays would negatively impact our ability to implement our business plan and harm our competitive position, business and prospects.
Failure to obtain space for our DSL equipment in the local telephone companies' central offices in our target markets could adversely affect our business
Our strategy requires us to obtain space for our DSL equipment in those central offices of the traditional telephone companies that already serve a large number of our target customers. Failure to obtain required space to locate our equipment on a timely basis could have a material adverse effect on our business. In addition to negotiating and entering into interconnection agreements with traditional telephone companies, we must negotiate and enter into collocation agreements for each central office in which we locate equipment. We may not be able to secure collocation space in the central offices of our choice on a timely basis. We expect that central office space will become increasingly scarce as demand increases. In addition, the terms of our collocation agreements are one to two years and are subject to certain renegotiation, renewal and termination provisions.
Our success depends on traditional telephone companies providing acceptable transmission facilities and copper telephone lines
We interconnect with and use the networks of traditional telephone companies to provide our services to our customers. We cannot assure you that these networks will be able to meet the telecommunications needs of our customers or maintain our service standards. We also depend on the traditional telephone companies to provide and maintain their transmission facilities and the copper telephone lines between our network and our customers' premises. Our dependence on traditional telephone companies could cause delays in establishing our network and providing our services. Any such delays could have a material adverse effect on our business. We lease copper telephone lines running from the central office of the traditional telephone companies to each customer's location. In
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many cases, the copper telephone lines must be specially conditioned by the telephone company to carry digital signals. We may not be able to lease a sufficient number of acceptable telephone lines on acceptable terms, if at all. Traditional telephone companies often rely on unionized labor and labor-related issues have in the past, and may in the future, adversely affect the incumbent carriers' provision of services.
Our success depends on contractors who install the equipment and wiring necessary to utilize our service in the central offices of traditional telephone companies and at our customers' premises
We primarily utilize contractors to install necessary equipment and wiring in the central offices of traditional telephone companies and at our customers' premises. These installations must be completed on a timely basis and in a cost-efficient manner. Failure to retain experienced contractors to install the equipment and wiring or failure to complete these installations on a timely, cost-efficient basis could materially delay our growth or damage ou
reputation, our business and prospects and results of operations. If we are unable to retain contractors to provide these services, we will have to complete these installations ourselves, probably at a greater cost and with delay. We may be required to utilize numerous contractors as we expand our operations, which may divert management attention and result in delays in installations, increased costs and lower quality.
Intense competition in the high-speed data communication services market may negatively affect the number of our customers and the pricing of our services
The high-speed data communication services market is intensely competitive. If we are unable to compete effectively, our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations would be adversely affected. We expect the level of competition to intensify in the future, due, in part, to increasing consolidation in our industry. Our competitors use various technologies for local access connections, that include higher speed alternatives to traditional dial-up modems, such as integrated services digital network, or ISDN, frame relay, T1 and DSL services, and alternatives to traditional telecommunications networks such as wireless, satellite-based and cable networks. We expect significant competition from:
. Other providers of DSL-based services like us, including Covad, Network Access Solutions, NorthPoint and Rhythms NetConnections;
. Internet service providers, such as America Online, Concentric Network and Flashcom, which have begun to develop high-speed access capabilities to leverage their existing products and services.
. Traditional local telephone companies, including the traditional telephone companies created by AT&T's divestiture of its local telephone service business, some of which have begun deploying DSL-based services and which provide other high-speed data communications services;
. National long distance carriers, such as AT&T and MCI WorldCom, which are beginning to offer competitive DSL-based services;
. Cable modem service providers, such as At Home, which are offering high- speed Internet access over cable networks and have positioned themselves to do the same for businesses;
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. Providers utilizing alternative technologies, such as wireless and satellite-based data service providers.
Many of our current and potential competitors have longer operating histories, greater brand name recognition, larger customer bases and substantially greater financial, technical, marketing, management, service support and other resources than we do. Therefore, they may be able to respond more quickly than we can to new or changing opportunities, technologies, standards or customer requirements. See "Business --Competition."
We may not be able to continue to grow our business if we do not obtain significant additional funds on acceptable terms by 2001
The actual amount and timing of our future capital requirements will depend on the demand for our services and regulatory, technological and competitive developments which could differ materially from our estimates. We may not be able to raise sufficient debt or equity capital on terms that we consider acceptable, if at all. If we are unable to obtain adequate funds on acceptable terms, our ability to deploy and operate our network, fund our expansion or respond to competitive pressures would be significantly impaired
We may incur significant amounts of debt in the future to implement our business plan and, if incurred, this indebtedness will create greater financial and operating risk and limit our flexibility
We intend to seek additional debt financing in the future. We are not generating sufficient revenue or operating cash flow to fund our operations or to repay existing or expected debt. We may not be able to repay our current debt or any future debt. In addition, the terms of any future debt would likely contain additional restrictive covenants that would limit our ability to incur additional indebtedness and place other operating restrictions on our business. If we incur additional debt, we will be required to devote increased amounts of our cash flow to service indebtedness. This could require us to modify, delay or abandon the capital expenditures and other investments necessary to implement our business plan.
We may be subject to risks associated with future acquisitions
We may acquire complementary businesses. At present, we have no agreements or other arrangements with respect to any acquisition. An acquisition may not produce the revenue, earnings or business synergies that we anticipate, and an acquired business might not perform as we expect. If we pursue any acquisition, our management could spend a significant amount of time and effort in identifying and completing the acquisition and may be distracted from the operation of our business. If we complete an acquisition, we would probably have to devote a significant amount of management resources to integrating the acquired business with our existing operations, and that integration may not be successful.
Our services are subject to federal, state and local regulation and changes in laws or regulations could adversely affect the way we operate our business
The facilities we use and the services we offer are subject to varying degrees of regulation at the federal, state and/or local levels. Changes in applicable laws or regulations could, among other things, increase our costs, restrict our access to the central offices of the traditional telephone companies, or restrict our ability to provide our services. For example, the 1996 Telecommunications Act, which, among other things, requires traditional telephone companies to unbundle network
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elements and to allow competitors to locate their equipment in the telephone companies' central offices, is the subject of ongoing administrative proceedings at the federal and state levels, litigation in federal and state courts, and legislation in federal and state legislatures. We cannot predict the outcome of the various proceedings, litigation and legislation or whether or to what extent these proceedings, litigation and legislation may adversely affect our business and operations. In addition, decisions by the FCC and state telecommunications regulators will determine some of the terms of our relationships with traditional telecommunications carriers, including the terms and prices of interconnection agreements, and access fees and surcharges on gross revenue from interstate and intrastate services. State telecommunications regulators determine whether and on what terms we will be authorized to operate as a competitive local exchange carrier in their state. In addition, local municipalities may require us to obtain various permits which could increase the cost of services or delay development of our network. Future federal, state and local regulations and legislation may be less favorable to us than current regulations and legislation and may adversely affect our businesses and operations. See "Business -- Governmental Regulation."
A recent U.S. Supreme Court decision has raised questions about our ability to obtain interconnection facilities from the traditional telephone companie
which could hurt our business
A January 1999 decision by the U.S. Supreme Court could adversely affect our business because it has raised questions about whether we will be able to obtain certain interconnection facilities from the traditional telephone companies that we need in order to provide our services. In that decision, the Supreme Court invalidated an FCC rule which defines the particular parts of a traditional telephone company's network that must be provided to competitors like us, and it sent the matter back to the FCC with instructions to consider further the question of which parts of a traditional telephone company's network must be provided to competitors. The FCC recently initiated a proceeding to develop a new standard for determining which portions of the telephone companies' network elements must be made available to competitors like us. The FCC has stated that it plans to issue a new decision on this matter later this year. This new standard may change the parts of the telephone companies' networks to which companies like ours have access. If this occurs, our ability to implement our business plan will be adversely affected.
Uncertain tax and other surcharges on our services may increase our payment obligations to federal and state governments
Telecommunications providers are subject to a variety of federal and state surcharges and fees on their gross revenues from interstate and intrastate services. These surcharges and fees may be increased and other surcharges and fees not currently applicable to our services could be imposed on us. In either case, the cost of our services would increase and that could have a material adverse effect on our |