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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc.
DELL 126.390.0%11:36 AM EST

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To: kemble s. matter who wrote (138221)8/1/1999 9:29:00 AM
From: Walcalla  Read Replies (2) of 176387
 
Dell mentioned at bottom of article
FROM THE BULL MARKET REPORT
COMMENT: Our patience has run thin with Compaq. You must admit we have
been very patient with our investment in Compaq, but we note that the
consensus estimate for 1999 is 28 cents and for the year 2000 is only 80
cents. (The stock is trading now at 30 times 2000 earnings.) This means
we have to wait well over a year until we will have proof that the firm
can indeed produce this profit number. What if they falter? We are
pleased that the firm is going to layoff up to 8000 people. But will this
tear holes in their business design? What will it do for the future? Some
analysts think that "it can't get worse and will keep getting a bit better
each quarter", but others are concerned about the restructuring necessary
to make things right. As you can see, there are a lot of unanswered
questions. We like to go with leaders but Compaq is going from leadership
to a secondary position. Dell and HP are moving up fast. This hasn't
happened overnight either and we're not happy about it.

So, we have two choices. Stay with our investment and ride it out and in
two years have a solid leader (maybe), OR go with the leaders now. We
already have Dell in our portfolio and they are on a path to clear
gorilladom so why not take our money from Compaq and place it with the
richest man in Texas who has proven time and again that he knows how to
sell PC's and make money during the process?

We hereby sell our position in Compaq (CPQ - $24) and place the money with
Dell ($41.)

It pains us to have to do this, having bought it at $25 in April, 1998.
But sometimes it is necessary to move on.
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