New users choose NT over Netware, IDC says
MS overtaking Novell
New users choose NT over Netware, IDC says
By Marc Ferranti IDG News Service
New York - Netware still has a commanding lead among network operating systems, but Windows NT is winning over new users, according to a new study by International Data Corp.
Microsoft Corp.'s NT Server sold more than twice as many new licenses last year as NetWare 4.X. In addition, unit sales of NT's new licenses grew by 85% in 1996, IDC found. The revenue breakdown was unavailable.
But Novell still has the lead, taking into account upgrades to existing customers. Novell recorded 37% of license sales last year, down from 41% in 1995. NT's share rose from 17% in 1995 and 27% to 1996.
IDC bases its numbers mainly on reports from vendors, though it cross-checks the vendor figures against surveys of users, IDC officials said. Both Novell and Microsoft are major customers of IDC's market research reports and services, IDC officials said.
In a press release issued Monday, Microsoft quoted a subset of the IDC figures, mentioning sales to new users but leaving out the figures regarding upgrades to existing customers.
Novell countered today with its own press release, also citing IDC figures. However, Novell cited figures relating to total sales of NetWare licenses, including upgrades.
But IDC analysts said the trend toward Microsoft is undeniable.
"It is probably inevitable that they [Micrososft] will take the leadership in terms of absolute market share," Lee Doyle, vice president at IDC in Framingham, Mass.
But if Novell continues to ship good products, it can probably retain most of its customer base, Doyle said. He added that Novell needs to be a significant player in the Internet.
"They have some good products but not the visibility, even though they have the most widely deployed directory of anyone out there," he said.
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