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Strategies & Market Trends : LastShadow's Position Trading

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To: Jay Lyons who wrote (18441)	8/3/1999 8:36:00 AM
From: LastShadow	Read Replies (2) of 43080

Excellent Thread Jay - see below D-E-F-E-N-S-E In sports it is often said that "the best offense is a good defense." With the Fed ready to raise rates by another 50 bp; second quarter earnings largely behind us; and leadership issues breaking down; Briefing.com contends that this philosophy applies to the market as well. As such, we use today's Brief to profile 10 defensive plays -- stocks that we expect to exhibit decent relative strength during a difficult market environment. While the long-term upside potential of this group may not match the returns generated by our tech-based "Briefing 10" portfolios, Briefing.com expects the stocks listed below to outperform the overall market over the next 3- to 6-months. So if you're like us and you're getting more and more uneasy about the state of the market, now might be a good time to adopt a defensive strategy. For those of you considering such a move, remember that this list should be a place to start, not end, your research. Stock/Price Beta Current FY Earnings Est. (Zack's)/Est P/E Est. 5-yr Growth Rate Price/Sales (TTM) Div. Yield YTD % Return AAR Corp. (AIR) 21 0.58 $1.73/12.1x 14.8% 0.64x 1.61% (12.0%) Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) 66 11/16 0.86 $2.05/32.5x 13.1% 7.22x 1.29% unch CVS Corp. (CVS) 49 1/2 0.84 $1.52/32.6x 18.1% 1.23x 0.46% (10.0%) DuPont (DD) 72 15/16 0.80 $2.64/27.6x 9.9% 3.14x 1.94% 37.5% Ethan Allen* (ETH) 31 3/4 0.77 $1.90/16.7x 16.3% 1.84x 0.50% 16.2% Gap Inc. (GPS) 47 1/8 1.09 $1.19/39.6x 19.7% 4.38x 0.19% 26.0% Global Marine (GLM) 16 3/8 1.33 $0.53/30.9x 15.7% 3.06x --- 81.9% Hasbro (HAS) 26 7/16 0.98 $1.45/18.2x 14.3% 1.39x 0.92% 9.8% Park Place Ent. (PPE) 10 5/16 na $0.55/18.8x 14.8% 1.18x --- 61.8%** Weyerhauser (WY) 67 1.10 $2.87/23.3x 10.1% 1.15x 2.47% 31.9% Average v. S&P 500 0.93 v. 1.00 25.2x v. 31.3x 14.7% v. 7.1% 2.52x v. 5.27x 0.94% v. 1.51% 15.6% v. 8.1% * Ethan Allen is scheduled to report earnings later this week... See Earnings Calendar for details. ** Park Place Entertainment began trading as of 1/4/99... That day's open used for purposes of calculation. Robert Walberg Content provided by Briefing.com, a product of Charter Media. Copyright © 1999 Charter Media, Inc. All rights reserved.

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