COMPANY PROFILE Something doesn't ad up
By Lawrence Aragon Redherring.com July 30, 1999
An ETrade ad asks, "If your broker is so great, why does he still have to work?" You could ask a similar question of one of its ad agencies, Modem Media.Poppe Tyson (Nasdaq: MMPT): "If you're such a great Internet advertising agency, why can't you sell yourself to Internet-hungry Wall Street?"
When Modem Media.Poppe Tyson (MMPT) came out, it didn't need to advertise. The Street was so desperate for just about anything Internet related that MMPT IPO shares opened 244 percent higher than their offer price of $16. Four months later, they're hovering around $22.
The question now is, Does MMPT have legs, or is it fated to remain a Flounder? Despite backing from True North, the world's sixth-largest ad agency and MMPT's majority owner, the company doesn't have a compelling story. It creates Web advertisements, and that puts it smack in the middle of a highly competitive market.
"In the last year and a half, everyone and their friggin' uncle is doing interactive marketing," snips Joan Voight, reporter at large for AdWeek magazine.
MMPT ranks No. 13 in AdWeek's list of the top 50 interactive agencies, ranked by revenues, with estimated sales of $24.8 million for the first half of the year. To get to the top, it must battle through some bigger, better-branded competitors, including Razorfish ($25 million), Agency.com ($47 million), and No. 1 ranked USWeb/CKS ($73 million).
MMPT also faces a less forgiving stock market. The novelty has worn off interactive agencies, and they're now being evaluated on actual revenues, not just potential, Ms. Voight says.
Revenues have climbed steadily at MMPT for the past four years, but like nearly all Internet companies it has yet to post an annual profit.
There is no disputing that online advertising is a growth market. Internet-based ad revenues in the United States topped $1 billion in 1997 and are on pace to hit $5 billion next year, according to Jupiter Communications.
MMPT has built up quite an impressive roster of clients, including Amazon.com, Citibank, and IBM. But it has no magic way to hang onto big-name clients, which presently account for more than half its revenue. In July AT&T, its largest client, took its interactive ad business to the Strategic Interactive Group. Poof! MMPT's revenues dropped some 20 percent.
Bottom line, there are too many variables in MMPT's equation to determine if it will rise above the noise.
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