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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum
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To: Jim S who wrote (9006)8/3/1999 5:17:00 PM
From: Z268  Read Replies (1) of 9980
 
Jim,

<<The linkage of recent PRC actions (embassy riots, religious sect crackdown,
Taiwan fuss, etc.) all seem to suggest a distraction; either from some planned event
or to prevent internal focus on economic problems. When a xenophobic nation like
China allows the world to see into their actions, I can't help but think it must be for
hegemonic purposes.>>

I think the recent actions referred to above can not be lumped together. The posturing on the Taiwan issue is certainly a class of action designed for external consumption. The embassy bombing protests started off as a deliberately orchestrated series of actions, but it had all the signs of going out of control a few days later. The crack-down on the Falun Gong sect is more a case of "no longer being able to hide one's dirty linen". The possibility of China starting a war with Taiwan to distract the populace is certainly there, and is a classic ploy by autocratic regimes when faced with serious internal problems. Has China reached this point yet? I think this point will be reached if:

1. The Chinese economy falls into a deep recession and unrest ensues
2. The "irrational few" takes charge in a power re-shuffle.

Question is: Should external forces push China toward this probable situation, or away from this situation?

Steve Yeo

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