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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 659.00+1.0%Nov 21 4:00 PM EST
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To: HairBall who wrote (22404)8/7/1999 9:24:00 PM
From: LaVerne E. Olney  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
I've recently been playing with a spreadsheet using data from Jan,1992 to the present.
The figures breakdown as follows:

Month DOW Ave. % Change Month NASDAQ Ave. % Change
----- ------------------ ----- ---------------------
Apr 3.62 Jan 5.35
Nov 3.03 Nov 2.87
Jan 2.75 Sep 2.76
Oct 2.24 Oct 2.66
Feb 1.40 Jun 2.64
Jun 1.28 Apr 1.72
May 1.22 May 1.51
Dec 0.90 Dec 1.44
Mar 0.87 Jul 0.97
Jul 0.80 Mar 0.16
Sep 0.39 Aug 0.10
Aug -1.95 Feb -0.58

It should be noted that the figures are accentuated by the August losses in 1998 (-11%
on the DOW and -15% on the NASDAQ). I would not, however, be surprised to see this
performance confirmed again this year. It will be interesting to see if the
normally bullish performance Oct-Jan is absent or delayed this year as a result of
Y2K concerns.
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