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Technology Stocks : CheckFree Holdings Corp. (CKFR), the next Dell, Intel?

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To: zuma_rk who wrote (9040)8/11/1999 2:26:00 PM
From: CAPT TONY  Read Replies (1) of 20297
 
For those keeping track:

CKFR: Q4:99 Solid and Yahoo Launch on the Way
01:45pm EDT 11-Aug-99 Pacific Growth Equities (Olson, Stephen 4152746880) CKFR

August 11, 1999

CheckFree Corporation
Steve Olson, CFA
(415) 274-6880
solson@pacgrow.com

CKFR: Q4:99 Solid and Yahoo Launch on the Way

CKFR: Nasdaq
Buy
12 Mo. Target Price: $65

Price $26
Price Range $5.75-69.13
Shares (millions) 56.8
Market Capitalization (millions) $1,477
Average Daily Volume (000) 785

Summary and Investment Recommendation:

* CheckFree reported Q4:99 above expectations. Revenue was $70.8 million (or
$71.6 million excluding a charge against revenue for the service outage in the
quarter), compared to our forecast of $66.9 million. Operating EPS were $0.05,
better than our forecast of $0.03 due to the strong top line. The subscriber
base grew 6% sequentially to just under three million, just shy of our 6.5%
target.

* The Company indicated that Yahoo is on track to go live in the September
quarter following the internal pilot currently taking place; we expect a phased
rollout taking several months to hit full stride. The service will likely be
offered for free for 2-3 months to stimulate adoption.

* We are reiterating our BUY rating. We continue to view CheckFree as one of the
most solid franchises in electronic commerce. We believe investors should focus
on two engines that are revving up to accelerate growth for CheckFree; the new
distribution channel through Internet portals and the momentum building for
electronic bill presentment. We expect these emerging forces to bring electronic
billing across the threshold from early adopters to mainstream use.

CaptT
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