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Technology Stocks : VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC)

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To: John Curtis who wrote (13655)8/12/1999 3:49:00 PM
From: Pallisard  Read Replies (2) of 27311
 
Now that Valence is transitioning to a commercial enterprise as of the end of this quarter, it's more reasonable to talk about earnings/shr and P/E. Extrapolating from the remarks about $76 M in the next 12 months (and I believe he added the word "conservatively") and the IDB funds, Lev must feel comfortable with that figure based on what he has NOW without injecting other possible income into the mix. My guess for earnings by the end of FY 2000 based solely on the $76 would be ~ $1.00/shr. I think this and the sales potential are what interest analysts and institutions the most. A very conservative P/E of 15 would indicate a share price of $15 - there, it's said, as much as I hate to get into this numbers game we've been playing for the past 2 years.

If there were any additional surprise income, and I know Lev isn't telling all, that would be frosting. Any other guesses or thoughts about revenue?
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