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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin
RMBS 101.61+2.8%Dec 5 9:30 AM EST

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To: unclewest who wrote (27070)8/14/1999 9:10:00 AM
From: Dan3  Read Replies (2) of 93625
 
Re: $12.00 in '01?

Given that a rambus sale isn't too different from a rambus profit (rambus functions as a sort of tax on the memory industry, that's why they are so beloved by the memory industry - rambus cost of sales is effectively nil) you'll need about $450 million in pre tax sales to get your $12.00 per share. (If sales are this good, you'll trigger the covenants that issue the $10 stock options and result in some per share price dilution)

If average license fee is 1.7%, you'll need $26.5 billion in rambus sales in 01 ( actually, due to the in-arrears accounting, from July of 2000 to August of 2001) is that the sales projection you're using? Isn't midyear 2000 when intel comes out with its updated chipsets that don't require rambus anymore? (they will work with rambus, or with SDRAM)

Are you confident that you're going to get $26.5 billion in rambus sales in the fiscal year that begins less than 11 months from now?

What are projected memory sales for all memory types for this year (DRAM, SDRAM, SRAM, DRDRAM combined)? Anybody recall offhand?

Dan
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