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Technology Stocks : AUTOHOME, Inc

ATHM 23.81

-1.1%

Nov 17 3:59 PM EST

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To: ahhaha who wrote (14530)	8/15/1999 1:36:00 AM
From: gpowell	Read Replies (3) of 29970

This program refutes the only way that the ideal of the paradigm is approached. The ideal is free market competition, not administered tyranny. The above is based on antiquating technology of the old model. That's not my concept of the paradigm or of ATHM. My premise is that it is in the best interest of ATHM to work independently without interference from the MSO's. Secondarily the broadband experience we are waiting for will not come over the system built today not even over mini-fiber nodes. Therefore to protect it is a waste of time and resources. Better to allow natural competitive forces to get the next generation system built. Most of the voices here cry over the ruination of a system barely worth saving. My stated "engineered" scenario was just the mechanism I used to explore and focus my own thoughts regarding open access. I am now entirely in favour of open access. It can work. I also believe that ATHM should separate itself from the MSOs partners. How should this happen? I don't know. But one must have a vision. It's all too clear that one must work within the constraints of reality. That is the biggest problem with my scenario - it counts on the predicted behaviour of all these separate entities, which can't be done. The technical difficulties exist only if one chooses to believe that the current system, which works adequately well at less than 4% penetration rate, is worth saving. Run the numbers, ATHM under protected access will have about 3.5 million users by 2003 at the current penetration rates. What will AOL have by 2003 40 million? The MSO's will kill ATHM.

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