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Pastimes : Kosovo
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To: Neocon who wrote (14036)8/18/1999 5:26:00 AM
From: MNI  Read Replies (1) of 17770
 
Sturdy Reagonite Neocon ... (Reagan himself wasn't really a Neo, was he ... ?) ... additional costs ... the first assumption is that Russian scientists were to seriously believe that missiles might be destroyed effectively enough by lasers. I don't think they did. Then your assumption that additional costs might come up for the adversary might be reduced to the adversary might reluctantly do a feasibility study, that cost him a hundredth of your own costs (or less). More condensed: the combined cost of defence-defeating modifications/actions may be much less than the gross cost of the defence system. Then it comes down to an assumption of your and the adversaries' affluence. Can you afford a hundred times more money for R&D? Ten times? A thousand times? In the early eighties, I think the answer to this question was still not clear...

However, as on both sides costs for such programs were not really defined by the best knowledge of the scientists that knew about what they were talking, but by some less well-informed weapon's R&D army advisers, and as some supposedly or allegedly well-informed scientists might choose to join in the choir in order to increase their and their colleagues' budget (I know nobody so corrupt as a scientist when it comes to budget) your assumption of additional costs might be revived. <GG>

Regards MNI.
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