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Gold/Mining/Energy : KOB.TO - East Lost Hills & GSJB joint venture

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To: Sylvia Dupuis who wrote (4070)8/18/1999 10:56:00 AM
From: Salt'n'Peppa  Read Replies (1) of 15703
 
Sylvia, I think that you are reading the report correctly.

There is still the 100% realistic potential in the ELH mapped structure for up to 16TCF gas. This has been stated by the JV oil companies and is recognized by industry analysts. Alan Knowles is using a maximum of 10TCF in that report.

According to my own personal calculations (which have been derived with the help of some accounting minded buddies), 16 TCF would give HTP a per share value of $128 BPO (payout is defined as that point in time when the cost of drilling the first exploration well in ALL FOUR properties is recovered, which will likely be a year or more from now). I think Westminster worked out at $75.
Alan Knowles at Research Capital is using slightly different parameters, but comes up with an HTP estimate of $155 APO for an upper potential in all four properties combined.
He is using $1.00USD/mcf in the ground value and I am using $1.25USD.

Regardless of the minor parameter changes, the potential is staggering. We are talking Amazon.com here, but we don't sell books!

Regards,
S&P
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