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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 652.56-1.5%4:00 PM EST

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To: Lucky888 who wrote (23330)8/18/1999 5:26:00 PM
From: Lee Lichterman III  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
Well EBAY is one of my harder stocks to chart as I was just telling a friend onthe phone a little while ago.

My question is why risk it? You are comfortably up. As I have stated here many times, I don't trade internets so I am far from an expert on their behavior but....

EBAY has an unfilled gap just below 120 and first support if it tries to close that gap tomoorw would be around 115. Would it be worth a 10 drop inthe option to hold on? Futures sold off after the close so you may get a gap down but I would have dumped today before the close if it were me. I would at least sell half your position to protect some of your gains.

I try to remeber to not be greedy as there will always be another trade. Better to hit and run ona few 10-20% gains than try to hit one home run and let a profit turn into a loss or at least lose most of your gain. There is unemployment coming out Friday I believe and Trade deficit news being released soon. I still show the OEX MAx pain well below our current level so there are many factors that could move the market down the next couple days.

While I am impressed with the NASDAQ's strength so far today, I would not risk what appears to have been a FANTASTIC trade for you. Well done.

Probably not what you wanted to hear but if it were me, I would take the money and run. Let someone else carry it to expiration.

EDIT to clarify, I would at the minimum sell half and if it were me, I would sell it all at the earliest opportunity but I am overly cautious.

Good Luck,

Lee
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