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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 665.67-0.9%4:00 PM EST

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To: Matthew L. Jones who wrote (23341)8/18/1999 10:33:00 PM
From: stockycd  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
Matthew,

I'm having a hard time figuring out how you get a 17:1 chance of a downturn (from your tables).

We could say that we are in the 23rd day of an intermediate bearish trend and that the probability of a reversal is about 97%.

OR

We could say we are in the 6th day of a bullish trend and the probability of reversal down would be about 22%.

Could you explaind how you got the 17:1 odds?

I'm still studying the tables. TIA.
Chris
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