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Technology Stocks : AUTOHOME, Inc
ATHM 20.90+1.1%Feb 6 9:30 AM EST

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To: Sleeper who wrote (14774)8/21/1999 12:52:00 PM
From: Jing Qian  Read Replies (1) of 29970
 
What do you think will be E@H's annual sub growth rate from here to 2002? My estimate of total sub number by 12/2002:

1998->1999 200%, 320,000 -> 1 million
1999->2000 100%, 1 million -> 2 million
2000->2001 100%, 2 million -> 4 million
2001->2002 50%, 4 million -> 6 million

I assume a gradually declining sub growth rate based on the "Law of big number". We will be looking at 6 million by 2002. I am only being conservative, E@H could reach a far bigger number if they can keep the 200% annual rate year after year.
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