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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 121.93+0.8%Jan 9 4:00 PM EST

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To: Rarebird who wrote (39409)8/22/1999 1:51:00 PM
From: goldsheet  Read Replies (1) of 116846
 
> Demand for gold far exceeds mine production," said Mr.
> Lutley, with the difference made up by recycling or
> scrap and central bank sales.

Recycling was the major factor ignored by most analysts which I think took gold from $400 to $300. (I'll blame central banks for 300-to-270) Central bank sales were relatively flat at 406mt in 1997 and 437mt in 1998. Recycling which had been 621mt in 96, 611 in 97, jumped to 1094mt in 1998. (Asian currency crisis)

Demand for all metals exceeds primary production, so one could claim there was also a gap for all metals, but one should not immediately jump to the conclusion they were going to rise. Any good analysis of the gold market should include the secondary supply from scrap. Gold scrap can be thought of as the largest mine in the world, with reserves of close to 1 billion ounces in jewelry/coin/bullion held by individuals (not central banks), an ore grade of 14-24 carat which is no primary mine can match, and it can deliver 20+ million ounces to the market each year.
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