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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 683.89+0.3%Dec 3 4:00 PM EST

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To: Matthew L. Jones who wrote (23815)8/25/1999 9:19:00 PM
From: Smooth Drive  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
Hello Matt,

>>As you probably know, one standard deviation includes 92.5% of all trades and two standard deviations include over 99% of all trades from the moving average<<

Matt, this is the first post I've read of yours and you're either on to something real exciting or ....... If I find the time and/or interest I'll review your data.

It's been too many years since my stat classes but only a few in my class actually had hand held calculators. I didn't and had to calculate the variance with pencil and paper and then determine its square root from finance charts.

Now, unless things have changed a great deal since this old fart went to college (and this is from memory) one standard deviation is approximately 68%; 2 SD's is 95.5% and 3 SD's is 99.7%

Take care,

Eric
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