In the years to come China and India will become friends , once India stands up to the regional
enemy, namely China and shores up its nuclear and missile defense systems.
The present government in India is not smart enough to use its "bombs in the basement" capability and its incremental missile development programmes as a bargaining chip against China. Instead, it is embarking on developing a nuclear arsenal which will only burden it further. And it cannot afford to reduce spending on conventional weaponry either, as recent events have demonstrated. The enormous fiscal burden along with the constraints of the inevitable sanctions by the West, coupled with lack of development within India because of the diversion of resources to defense will lead to more unrest within India which in turn will make it less and less attractive to outside investment. And the whole thing will feed on itself.
What India has now is enough to finish Pakistan once far all.
If India strikes first against Pakistan in spite of its self-declared "no first strike" policy, then obviously it will become a pariah in the international community, and reduced to a state of isolation worse than that of North Korea.
Besides, if you get out of the fool's paradise, then you will understand that now that both India and Pakistan are nuclear states, large-scale or total conventional wars between them states is unlikely (because of fears that full-scale conventional war might escalate to a nuclear level). However, the chances of a sub-conventional or limited-conventional war, or a war along the periphery are not only quite high, but have been increased due to India playing nuclear Diwali at Pokhran last year. So, if you are a thinking person, you should expect Pakistan to launch a series of low-intensity conflicts against India, thanks to the right-wing Indian government's actions.
Hope Pakistan's leaders accept LOC as the international border and live in peace with India.
The question is -- will India's leaders and its right-wing "educated" supporters accept the LOC as the international border?
USA is getting closer to India and wants a credible military balance in South Asia against China.
The latter part of the statement is correct but not the former. The US is better off if Kashmir breaks away from both India and Pakistan. Then it can gain a secure foothold in a small, "independent" nation that looks up against the soft underbelly of China.
And also India happens to be a large trading partner with USA.
You forget that China is a much, much bigger trading partner of the US. And it has a trade surplus with the US, whereas India has a trade deficit -- its imports from the US are a lot more than what it exports to the US. |
