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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 675.02

+0.9%

Nov 25 4:00 PM EST

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To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (23935)	8/26/1999 10:15:00 PM
From: kimberley	Read Replies (1) of 99985

a couple of questions... <<f the inflation indexed bonds trade below par this is a sign that the reported inflation is below the actual inflation. Same with 30 year bond which trades around 2.5 to 3% above actual or anticipated inflation. The time spread is around 3 to 9 months.>> how/who determines what actual inflation is... and why is it different than reported inflation? Now with low GDP and decent spread in the bonds we have an economic slowdown but with some inflation. Therefore the negative corporate earnings growth in the GDP figures as reported to the IRS. (yeas to shareholders there are a different set of number usually misleading). I didn't realize this, but it makes sense. so collectively, corporate growth is significantly weaker this quarter, and prices the same, so inflation?? sorry if i'm being dense... this fascinates me, but i realize i'm out of my element with you guys. thanks for taking the time to teach me. best, kim

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