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Strategies & Market Trends : India Coffee House
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To: Mohan Marette who wrote (6028)8/28/1999 2:09:00 PM
From: Mohan Marette  Read Replies (1) of 12475
 
Election forecast - past & present.

Accuracy of 1998 Lok Sabha elections forecast 


Seats forecast   BJP allies Congress allies    NF+LF Others 
DRS                   249          155         102    37 
Outlook/AC Nielsen    238          149         123    33 
India Today/CSDS      214          164          27    38 
Frontline/CMS      225/235      145/155      120/130  32-52 
=========================================================
Acutal result         252        166            96    23 
=========================================================

Forecast of 1999 Lok Sabha elections 

Seat forecast     BJP allies Congress allies NF+LF  Others
 
Timespoll/DRS         332        138          73   
Outlook/CMS         279-289    152-162      63-68    34-39 
India Today/Insight 332-336    132-146


(The agencies have conducted the survey almost a month before the actual date of voting. They would further update the seat forecast in subsequent surveys a few days before the actual polling. The findings of those surveys might give more accurate trend of the voters perception than those surveyed earlier. These polls only suggest the mood of the people and the popular trend at the time of the survey.)

tribuneindia.com
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