My biggest holding: HDWY, a true value play.
This company (by the way, don't look into the thread, not active)is a real value play. They have grown this company considerably, look at the growth in EPS and revenues. EPS for this year expected to be 0,52 and for next year 0,62. The company is valued now at 10 times this year earnings and about 8 times next years earnings. The company is growing about 15-20% each year. Soros (through White Rock Capital) has a holding of about 11% in the company. The stock is a take over candidate, the CEO is a winner.
I think this stock could be taken out around USD 10,- soon, otherwise the downside risk is limited, only when there are fears of a recession the stock could go down.
The problem, the company is too small to have analysts cover the stock more and give strong buy ratings for it. Matt Roswell of Legg Mason is enthousiastic about this company but is not allowed to give a strong buy rating because of the size.
The stock has been trading above 12 last year, so look into it.
Another company, not a real value play but a take over play is HAIN. Look at the story about Kellog who wants to expand in the health food business. I think something is in the works here and I expect the company to be taken out within a few weeks above USD 30,-.
These are just my predictions. Do your own DD. If you have any questions just let me know.
I like this board because it is looking into real value plays. I will keep coming back here.
IDTC is also a real value play, remember that they own 58% of NTOP. If you calculate with a NTOP price of USD 40 (conservative, look where it is now), this would reflect a price of USD 28,5 for IDTC without their own core business. A conservative price for their own business is worth about USD 15, so that would make a total of around USD 44. The market is not looking at it now that way, I had several discussions about it with one of my brokers. I am a portfolio manager BTW and manage portfolios worth USD 400 mio.
Take care,
Rene. |
