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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 128.56+6.1%Feb 6 4:00 PM EST

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To: Rarebird who wrote (39750)8/29/1999 4:04:00 PM
From: Bobby Yellin  Read Replies (2) of 116972
 
Rarebird-I think I prefer Kurt Lewin's approach toward truth-although you know my favorite is the I ching..the observations of nature by
wise men over three thousand years old..
I wasn't talking about negative earnings from internet businesses such as amazon etc..I
was talking about the competition which is creating smaller and smaller margins
but is allowing the consumer to be offered bargains after bargains..
books,software,appliances,etc
besides being able to easily comparative shop for mortgages,online banking,
cars,real estate etc..that to me is deflationary as companies are
forced to undercut each other with leaps and bounds of transparency.. how many middle men are being cut out now(how many jobs will be lost
how few jobs will be created to replace them?
..how much
sales tax for instance is New York losing..you can buy a computer in New Jersey and
save 80 dollars in tax..
also record industry, have you ever downloaded mpeg3?
how many people will cancel their newspapers to read the latest breaking news?
also merger mania still alive which also is cutting into more jobs
yes-there will be scarity of teachers etc..but who can afford teacher's salary? how can they
get good pay raises whereas the average american just thinks shortsighted and doesn't want to
pay taxes..and hopes I guess the good fairy will come down and find good teachers for their children. ( sadly admit that ole 49er might
be in that I always have to put something in like that)
Commodity prices probably are less than a tenth of product costs if that much..maybe six
percent..
year200 0 might be an excuse for correction..but how much has been spent already on the
major fixes and how much pre 2000 buying by corporations have caused growth in tech
sales and services
The productivity part-I just think the average worker is probably so stressed out..that
he/she should become less productive with the incredible hours a lot of people are putting in..
also how many people are needed now to support all this high tech..
re trade deficit..again I am not worried about that..just budget deficit..
once japan is really recovering..still in doubt..I am certain the government wouldn't mind
having our products more competitive to a world that is recovering and who will finally start buying our products.. could that also be called monetarizing our trade deficit?-
also as the east recovers, that could produce some more deflation --corporations' expenses will go up -since the dollar will go down..
and the wealth effect from the market will diminish...

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