Paul and Intel Investors:''tens of millions'' of servers over the next five years." - Craig Barrett
Comments from Barrett, Chambers and Gates from last week's Dell Conference.
Things looking good for 8-way Xeons, Merceds and McKinleys.
dailynews.yahoo.com
Monday August 30 1:22 AM ET
Top Computer Execs Beat The Drum For Internet
By Jeff Franks
AUSTIN, Texas (Reuters) - To hear top computer executives tell it, the Internet is not just a convenient
place to get information or make an occasional purchase, it is the future, the promised land and a new era in
human history all rolled into one.
Somewhat akin to television evangelists seeking converts -- and their money -- some of the industry's biggest names
relentlessly beat the drum for the Internet this week at a conference for Dell Computer Corp. (Nasdaq:DELL - news)
customers.
In speech after speech, the pronouncements could hardly have been more sweeping.
''We're really talking about the death of time and distance,'' said Cisco Systems chief executive John Chambers. ''The
Internet changes everything.''
Dell Computer founder Michael Dell said: ''The Internet is provoking a profound revolution in business that is far greater
than any revolution that has ever been seen. It's bringing about the demise of brick-and-mortar retailers.''
When words were insufficient, the speakers brought out numbers.
Intel Corp. (Nasdaq:INTC - news) chief executive Craig Barrett said there were 150 million to 200 million ''connected''
computers in the world today, but that number should be 1 billion in five years.
Sales via the Internet -- or ''E-commerce'' in the industry parlance -- could rise to $1 trillion in the United States alone over
the next two to three years, up from zero just a short time ago, Barrett said.
''We're talking about a big, big change...we all have to take advantage of it or get steamrolled by it,'' he warned.
Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq:MSFT - news) chairman Bill Gates pointed out that 50 percent of all U.S. homes now have a
personal computer, to which Dell added that 90 percent of those machines were used to surf the Internet.
Of the Fortune 500 companies, Dell added, only 2 percent did not now have Internet sites.
The advantages of E-commerce were many, the executives said, including lower costs of service, direct connections to
customers and the ability to customize products to suit each individual buying on the Internet.
E-commerce, of course, requires computers, lots of them, meaning the computer industry stands to make a bundle from the
revolution it is busily touting.
Barrett, for example, said in his speech that the projected increase in connected users and E-commerce would create a
demand for ''tens of millions'' of servers over the next five years.
''We have roughly only 5 percent of the server backbone in place today that we'll need five years from now,'' he said.
And by the way, Barrett added, Intel would be coming out next year with a new 64-bit processor that should be just perfect
for those servers.
Amid all the hype, there were a few moments at the Dell conference when the reality of the present brought the future back
down to earth, if only briefly.
Embarrassing software glitches interrupted a couple of demonstrations of Internet wizardry, showing that the road to the
wired world still had a few potholes.
In another instance, an attendee left the voluble Chambers speechless when he asked how the Internet was going to affect his
business -- trucking.
''You've tested the limits of my knowledge,'' Chambers admitted.
The moment was instructive because, despite all the high- faluting talk about a coming ''sea change'' in human existence, it
raised the question of how much the Internet would actually affect the day-to-day life of the average Joe.
That question has yet to be answered. |
