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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club

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To: Investor2 who wrote (8245)	8/30/1999 3:43:00 PM
From: marc ultra	Read Replies (3) of 15132

I2 re<<<Why are you not addressing the scenario where the market remains in a trading range for a while and then moves into the next leg of the bull?>>>> I don't see the fundamentals at this point to drive us into a sustainable next leg of a bull. Certainly so far no big drop in rates toward 5.5 or even 5.75, after touching 6.27 we dropped momentarily to 5.85 and now with continued strong economic news we're blasting Back through 6%. Maybe with some big surprises to the downside in the NAPM and in Friday's big data day we can regain some momentum in stocks and bonds but so far economic surprises continue to be to the upside. After this mammoth bull market as we sit near record valuations at the same time the Fed may be in an aggressive tightening mode and while the market seems uninterested in making further impressive progress to the upside, preservation of hard earned big gains is gaining in importance to me than overly worrying about what Batman, Laszlo and others have recently been saying. If we start sliding in a bear market I have a feeling this bunch is going to be very late to start muttering caution Marc

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