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Biotech / Medical : AMLN (DIABETES DRUGS)

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To: Edward Boghosian who wrote (1634)9/1/1999 11:51:00 AM
From: Doorman  Read Replies (1) of 2173
 
> But -are these results significantly more positive than before?

Absolutely, Edward. The previous Ph 3 trial results for Type 2 were ambiguous. The Type 1 results have been consistently more promising. So the statistically significant data for Type 2 is huge and welcome news - remember Type 2 is a much bigger market than Type 1.

<<What are the chances of being blindsided
from subsequent results?

I don't see how unless they analyzed the data incorrectly. There are no more Ph 3 trials out there for Type 2 for AMLN. This was it.

<From the results so far, is this company SIGNIFICANTLY
closer to a marketable drug then we were about a year ago?

Yes. They are preparing their submission now. I contacted their CEO, Joe Cook, and he informed me they will wait for the Type 1 data to be analyzed and made public before submitting an NDA. AMLN wants to submit the data for both Type 1 and 2 at the same time. The Type 1 data should be available in the 4th quarter.

Another significant aspect of yesterday's news is that AMLN can leverage much better terms for a marketing partner. Also, they are a much more attractive take-over candidate.

Good luck,

Doorman
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