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Technology Stocks : Avalon Group, Inc.

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To: Howard Kirk who wrote (1404)	9/1/1999 7:17:00 PM
From: Eric Fader	Read Replies (1) of 1530

Howard - Last I heard, the unofficial, completely groundless <g> speculation was that the IPO, if it occurs, "could" be priced somewhere between 15 and 30. I'm assuming 20, for my own purposes. I'm also assuming an immediate doubling on the first day, and my gut is telling me that the market cap will eventually exceed $1 billion if the company is able to do what they are setting out to do and the broad market remains healthy. A market cap of $1.2 billion divided by 20 million shares outstanding (I don't guarantee that this is a good assumption either!) would give us a stock price of $60, which I've been throwing around just for fun. You may agree or disagree with this analysis, but please keep in mind that it's my own and is not based on anything out of the mouth of anyone at AHS. -Eric

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