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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club

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To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (8350)	9/3/1999 10:09:00 AM
From: Wally Mastroly	Read Replies (2) of 15132

CIBCR : Update = + analysis:(with a caution in the summary) biz.yahoo.com - Analysis: dismal.com SUMMARY: The latest release of the Leading Inflation Index by the Center for International Business Cycle Research suggests that inflationary pressures over the next several months will ease slightly. On a month-to-month basis, the LII declined in August by 0.2%. In addition to this decline, the index for May, June and July were all revised downward, indicating less inflationary pressure. The latest decline in the LII, as well as the downward revision to the previous three months of data is questionable. Other economic data suggests that inflationary pressures continue to build. Oil prices are up, labor markets remain acutely tight, productivity is slowing, and unit labor costs are up significantly. Given the volatility of this index, due to its frequent revisions, one month's worth of data showing an easing of inflation should not be taken too seriously.

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