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Technology Stocks : The New Qualcomm - a S&P500 company
QCOM 165.03+1.0%3:59 PM EST

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To: Keith Feral who wrote (1300)9/6/1999 11:59:00 AM
From: Mike Buckley  Read Replies (1) of 13582
 
Keith,

I see that we were working on our posts at about the same time. :)

Using a 40% growth rate, the "forward" PEG is 1.

Using a trailing EPS of $2.05 as defined in my previous post, a 40% annualized growth through FY2000 will produce EPS of $3.12.

Divide the stock price of $163 by $3.12 and the "forward" PE is 52.

Divide that PE by the 40% growth and the year forward PEG is $1.30, not 1.00.

I'm not trying to quibble with the numbers, really, truly. Maybe it's my failing as a valuation junkie, but I think there's a big difference between 1.00 and 1.30.

I think you could agree that is very cheap, too.

I hope my previous post sufficiently explains why the stock might be fairly valued. Even if it does, I'm compelled to repeat that I don't dwell on "fair value" for gorillas like I do with some of my other stocks.

--Mike Buckley
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