Date: Mon Sep 06 1999 00:26 Gambler ( Old Gold / Armstrong ) ID#434132: Copyright ¸ 1999 Gambler/Kitco Inc. All rights reserved It is crystal clear that Armstrong IS short gold. He can deny buying it and then selling it, but he can't deny borrowing it and selling it. He has used the "gold carry" just as he used the "yen carry," and this is one of the reasons ( being short yen ) his firm is in big trouble now on their derivitive exposures. Armstrong NEEDS a lower gold price to bail him out of his sour yen trade.
Some CB officials HAVE personally, greatly benefited from leasing to the bullion banks and/or mining companies, hedge funds, etc. as they have in some cases been heavily invested ( directly or indirectly ) in the very institutions they authorized loans to.
At this point in time, this practice is changing because of the concerns about the credit ratings of some of those institutions. The ratings get worse by the day as interest rates continue to climb. With Y2K at hand, the CBs are concerned about liquidity problems as corporations compete for cash to have on hand for payroll and other budgeting matters. Bonds are being dumped for cash and foreign CBs are dumping US treasuries and converting back into their domestic currencies. Bullion banks and hedge funds ( short gold ) are vunerable to highly leveraged derivative positions in currencies, bonds, precious metals, commodities, etc. Knowing this, CBs want their gold back before any defaults occur from rising interest rates.
If just a small number of these banks and hedge funds were to fail, a domino effect would ensue "bringing down the house of cards" so to speak. Investigations would uncover the irresponsible, criminal nature of the activities of some CB officers. CBs officials would be blamed for the loss of its gold reserves and in some cases personally benefiting.
The sustained, rising gold lease rates reflect the current financial risks to the market. It signifies that the game is up and the rules are changing. Besides, the CBs NEED their gold to keep control of the gold market. They cannot afford to divest themselves of their fiat currency insurance, gold.
The CBs, bullion banks, Martin Armstrong, etc. would love it for all to sell their gold as they could unwind their short positions. It would be foolish for Armstrong to take any other position than the one he has. He is lying!
Someone needs to tell ol' Marty that it AINT GONNA HAPPEN! It's too late for some of you gold shorts!
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