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regulatory approvals in order to market our products and receive product revenues or royalties. No regulatory agency has approved the full commercial sale of any of our products. We cannot assure you that the drug will ultimately be demonstrated to be safe or efficacious. In addition, while Ampligen is authorized for use in clinical trials in the United States and other countries, we cannot assure you that additional clinical trials approvals will be authorized in the United States or in other countries, in a timely fashion or at all, or that we will complete these clinical trials. Further, we cannot assure you that Ampligen will be commercially successful in any country that may approve its use. If Ampligen or one of our other products does not receive regulatory approval in the U.S. or elsewhere, our operations will be significantly affected.
3. We may not be profitable unless we can protect our patents and/or receive approval for additional pending patents.
We need to acquire enforceable patents covering the use of Ampligen for a particular disease in order to obtain exclusive rights for the commercial sale of Ampligen. Our success depends, in large part, on our ability to obtain patent protection for our products and to obtain and preserve our trade secrets and knowhow. We have been issued certain patents on the use of Ampligen alone and Ampligen in combination with certain other drugs for the treatment of HIV. We have also been issued patents on the use of Ampligen alone and in combination with certain other drugs for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B virus, chronic hepatitis C virus, and a patent which affords protection on the use of Ampligen in patients with chronic fatigue syndrome. To date, we have not been issued any patents in the U.S. for the use of Ampligen as a sole treatment for any of the cancers which we have sought to target. Our applications for U.S. patents for the use of Ampligen in the treatment of renal cell carcinoma and lung cancer are currently pending. We cannot assure you that any of these applications will be approved or that our competitors will not seek and obtain patents regarding the use of Ampligen in combination with various other agents, including AZT, for a particular target indication prior to us. If we cannot protect our patents covering the use of Ampligen for a particular disease, or obtain additional pending patents, we may not be able to successfully market Ampligen.
4. We may not be profitable unless we can produce Ampligen in commercial quantities at costs acceptable to us.
We have never produced Ampligen or any other products in large commercial quantities. Ampligen is currently produced only for use in clinical trials. We must manufacture our products in compliance with regulatory requirements at commercial quantities and at acceptable costs in order for us to be profitable. We intend to utilize third-party manufacturers and/or facilities if and when the need arises or, if we are unable to do so, to build or acquire commercial-scale manufacturing facilities. We have entered into an agreement with Bioclones, Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company which is associated with South African
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Breweries, Ltd. The Bioclones agreement provides for the construction of a new commercial manufacturing facility by Ribotech, Ltd., a company of which we own 24.9%. We have not commenced constructing this facility. A pilot facility in South Africa is being expanded to provide an increased supply of Ampligen raw material. The construction of the commercial facility is dependent upon the regulatory status of Ampligen, or other products covered by our patents in various global markets, and we cannot give assurances with respect to when, and if, construction will be initiated or completed. If we cannot manufacture commercial quantities of Ampligen or enter into third party agreements for its manufacture at costs acceptable to us, our operations will be significantly affected.
5. If our distributors do not market our product successfully, we may not generate significant revenues or become profitable.
We have limited marketing and sales capability. We need to enter into marketing agreements and third party distribution agreements for our products in order to generate significant revenues and become profitable. To the extent that we enter into co-marketing or other licensing arrangements, any revenues received by us will be dependent on the efforts of third parties, and there is no assurance that these efforts will be successful. Our agreement with Olsten Health Services offers the potential to provide significant marketing and distribution capacity in the United States while Bioclones, Ltd. will be responsible for fielding an adequate sales force in South America, Africa, United Kingdom, Australia and New Zealand. Olsten Health Services is able to deliver treatment and services to chronic disease patients including infusion services, home nursing and other medical services through a national network of more than 500 locations. Nevertheless, we cannot assure you that Olsten Health Services or Bioclones will be able to successfully distribute our products, or that we will be able to establish future marketing or third party distribution agreements on terms acceptable to us, or that the cost of establishing these arrangements will not exceed any product revenues. If we cannot enter into future marketing and distribution agreements at terms acceptable to us, or if these distributors cannot effectively market and distribute our products, our operations will be negatively affected.
6. We may be subject to product liability claims from the use of Ampligen or other of our products which could negatively affect our future operations.
We face an inherent business risk of exposure to product liability claims in the event that the use of Ampligen or other of our products results in adverse effects. This liability might result from claims made directly by patients, hospitals, clinics or other consumers, or by pharmaceutical companies or others manufacturing these products on our behalf. Our future operations may be negatively effected from the litigation costs, settlement expenses and lost product sales inherent to these claims. While we will continue to attempt to take appropriate precautions, we cannot assure you that we will avoid significant product liability exposure.
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Although we currently maintain worldwide product liability insurance coverage in the amount of $1,000,000, there can be no assurance that this insurance will provide adequate coverage against product liability claims. While no product liability claims are pending or threatened against us to date, a successful product liability claim against us in excess of our insurance coverage could have a negative effect on our business and financial condition.
7. Members of our Scientific Advisory Board have conflicting interests and may disclose data and technical knowhow to our competitors.
All of our Scientific Advisory Board members are employed by other entities, which may include our competitors. Although we require each of our Scientific Advisory Board members to sign a non-disclosure and non-competition agreement with respect to the data and information that he or she receives from us, we cannot assure you that members will abide by them. If a member were to reveal this information to outside sources, accidentally or otherwise, our operations could be negatively effected. Since our business depends in large part on our ability to keep our knowhow confidential, any revelation of this information to a competitor or other source could have an adverse effect on our operations.
8. The loss of Dr. Carter's services could hurt our chances for success.
Our success is dependent on the continued efforts of Dr. William A. Carter. The loss of Dr. Carter's services could have a material adverse effect on our operations. While we have an employment agreement with Dr. William A. Carter, and have secured key man life insurance in the amount of $2 million on the life of Dr. Carter, the loss of Dr. Carter or other key personnel, such as Dr. David Strayer or Dr. Carol Smith, or the failure to recruit additional personnel as needed could have a materially adverse effect on our ability to achieve our objectives.
9. Restricted shares eligible for sale may depress the market price of our common stock.
A significant number of our outstanding shares of common stock are "restricted," as that term is defined under Rule 144 of the Securities Act. In addition, we have issued warrants to purchase 2,080,000 shares of common stock in reliance upon the provisions of Rule 701 of the Securities Act. All of these Rule 701 shares are currently eligible for sale, although the holder of 1,400,000 of these rule 701 shares, Dr. William Carter, our president, has agreed to not sell any of these shares in 1999. Under Rule 144, in general, a person may sell stock if the stock has been owned for at least one year. Rule 144 sales must be made under certain conditions, including, limitations as to the amount of shares that may be sold in any three-month period. Rule 144 also permits a sale, without any quantity limitation, by a person who is not an affiliate of the issuer and who has satisfied a two-year holding period. We cannot predict the effect that sales made under Rule 144 or Rule 701, sales made in reliance on other |