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Technology Stocks : Red Hat Software Inc. (Nasdq-RHAT)

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To: Pluvia who wrote (962)9/8/1999 12:01:00 AM
From: Eric Wells  Read Replies (1) of 1794
 
The Red Hat Paradox

Red Hat makes revenue by:

1. Packaging and selling Linux.

2. Providing support for the version of Linux it sells.

It appears that Red Hat is putting greater reliance on revenue from the second category (support) than the first. Yet, every company I know of that develops software generally strives to make their software easier to use, with the hope of increasing sales. And herein lies the paradox for Red Hat: by working to improve Linux (kernal and shell), Red Hat may actually work to decrease its revenue stream from offering service and support. And there will be other companies trying to make Linux easier to use as well - and other companies that will offer Linux service and support.

Does Microsoft consider Windows NT Support as a major profit center? Hardly. Why has Wall Street been fooled into thinking that Red Hat can generate substantial profits through Linux support?

Look for major insider sell-off of RHAT in the short term.

For the record - I have no position in RHAT.

-Eric Wells
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