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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 659.03+1.0%Nov 21 4:00 PM EST

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To: HairBall who wrote (25133)9/8/1999 10:07:00 AM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
Larry,

Those studies were just in mathematic studies and not the market. Not sure if you are saying if 62% probability is to high or too low. Please keep in mind that 62% is at best.

Going back to my college math classes, we had several papers on that theory. Recently, an analysis was done in genetic research by my friends, and the best they could predict was 63%. I realise that what does genetics have to do with the market, frankly nothing. But it was just a mathematic study that could be applied in nature. One could argue that the market is not part of nature, but I would not buy that either.

Its interesting that the 62% is a FIBINOCCI number.

seeya
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