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Technology Stocks : Micron Only Forum
MU 392.36-1.8%12:37 PM EST

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To: DJBEINO who wrote (48088)9/8/1999 5:05:00 PM
From: Thomas G. Busillo  Read Replies (1) of 53903
 
DJ, the Kipster never ceases to amaze:

Micron Vice President Kipp Bedard told analysts and investors at a Salomon Smith Barney conference in New York that rising spot prices for dynamic random access memory won't help results in the quarter ended Sept. 2 because much of what was sold was older inventory that cost more to make.

Sure, "older inventory" cost more to make.

From last Q:
FG = $238.6 M
WIP = 146.4 M

Are they using LIFO? One would think they inventory accounting method would be contained in an SEC filing, however, I couldn't find it in their most recent 10-Q or the 1998 10-K.

However, if the question is "why won't rising spot prices make a dramatic difference?" isn't it more:

A) They sell an overwhleming majority of product at contract prices
B) Their contract prices have significantly trailed the spot all quarter

All those reiterations we've seen over the last month - how many of them even mention that?

And speaking of which...

...hey, someone wake Mona Eraiba up over at Gruntal. She missed today's analyst riot.

She had a great quote about their inventory in a report just after last quarter earnings. Back when everyone was concerned that they had X weeks of inventory, she wrote something to the effect that this figure was inflated because the market price of the goods was now below their cost. Somehow this was supposed to be a positive <g>

If he's trying to burst the expectations of people who think they'll return to profitability this Q because spot prices are rising - fine.

I still think the consensus of -.17 is too low.

Good trading,

Tom
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