Assuming the same growth rate, at the end of 2000 cdma should have (50*1.49*1.49)-50 = 60.72M new subs next year vs. 27M new subs last year. That means 2000 Q sells twice as much of everything.
Caxton, not to spoil the fun, but can someone please tell me why the imputed growth rate of CDMA (world-wide adoption rate), year over year, should or would be the same as, less than or greater than the rate in CDG's release. I have assumed, probably incorrectly, that there would be peaks and valleys if plotted on a graph, rather than a straight line or parabolic curve. The 1.49 is, after all, starting from a pretty small base; with the larger base, even with better country adoption news, it's that much harder to maintain the rate. Plus there are saturation/market penetration issues that may not be present at the low base numbers but which may have to be factored in at higher adoption rates.
Any market analysts/statisticians out there?
Best. Steve |
