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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

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Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: HairBall who wrote (25455)	9/10/1999 9:31:00 AM
From: HairBall	Read Replies (2) of 99985

To All: Point One - There are "now" about 18 million manufacturing jobs in the USA, about the same as 20 years ago. I do not care how much service based business the USA is providing the world, that lack of growth (actually a loss as a percent of jobs) is alarming! Point Two - I posted regarding bond rates on the MDA thread last December or January. I can't remember which. I posted the US long-bond had put in a significant bottom on Oct 5, 1998 and capital repatriating to Japan would become one of the primary catalysts to a sustained rise in US bond rates. That expectation seems to be generating some echoes as of late. The expectation was TA based with the reference to the rational. However, I have posted recently on this thread, I believe rates for the long-bond have seen the highs for this year or at least close to the highs. I base this expectation strictly on my technical as I did the above expectation for the rate rise. Of course, I also listed the rational. Y2K fear generated temporary flight to the safety of US Bonds, later this year. Comments... Regard, LG Disclaimer: The above is my opinion only and I reserve the right to be wrong. Do not base any investment decision solely on anyone person's views or analysis. Do your own research and take responsibility for your investment decisions.

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