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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation

CRSP 55.11

-2.6%

Nov 7 9:30 AM EST

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To: LLCF who wrote (377)	9/13/1999 3:38:00 PM
From: LLCF	Read Replies (2) of 52153

Stocks moving so quickly it's hard to keep up: Comp # Shrs Price Mkt.Cap Cash $/shr T-val. T-val/Shr $/Val Ann Exp Revs Burn Sales Sls/Exp X-sls GZSP* 15.8 7.25 $115 $180 11.39 ($65) ($4.14) 157% 0.0 0.0 0 100 1.15 SNAP* 10.7 5.75 $62 $50 4.67 $12 $1.08 81% 19.0 9.0 20% 2 NBIX* 18.8 4.75 $89 $52 2.77 $37 $1.98 58% 32.0 14.0 35% 0 HYSQ* 13.0 5.0 $65 $33 2.50 $33 $2.50 50% 20.0 4.0 49% 0 AXPH* 30.3 4.00 $121 $56 1.85 $65 $2.15 46% 78.6 47.4 56% 0 CTII* 18.4 1.25 $23 $9 0.49 $14 $0.76 39% 22.3 8.8 150% 0 ARQL* 12.50 6.00 $75 29 2.28 $47 $3.72 38% 32.0 35.0 -11% GELX* 16.8 14.50 $244 $90 5.36 $154 $9.14 37% 38.0 14.0 27% 4 REGN* 31.3 8.00 $250 $91 2.91 $159 $5.09 36% 57.0 30.0 30% 15 26% 16.69 GLFD* 19.4 14.50 $281 $97 5.00 $184 $9.50 34% 50.3 12.5 39% 6 12% 46.88 NPSP* 12.5 7.00 $87 $30 2.40 $57 $4.60 34% 23.4 3.6 66% 0 CLTR* 17.3 22.00 $381 $100 5.78 $281 $16.22 26% 42.0 1.0 41% 0 VRTX* 25.3 32.00 $811 $205 8.09 $606 $23.91 25% 80.0 48.0 16% 17 21% 47.71 BONZ* 13.5 8.0 $108 $27 2.00 $81 $6.00 25% 32.0 40.0 -30% 40 2.70 PGNS* 16.3 17.00 $277 $65 3.99 $212 $13.01 23% 62.6 61.1 2% 50 BTRN* 8.6 6.00 $51 $12 1.40 $39 $4.60 23% 18.0 6.5 96% 0 0% PDLI* 18.6 33.00 $613 $140 7.53 $473 $25.47 23% 40.0 30.0 7% 15 38% 40.88 NEXL 70.5 1.75 $123 $28 0.40 $95 $1.35 23% 34.0 12.0 79% ALKS 24.5 37.00 $907 $171 6.98 $736 $30.02 19% 45.9 40.0 3% 0 GLGC* 19.7 5.5 $108 $20 1.02 $88 $4.48 18% 33.0 20.0 65% 20 5.42 CGPI* 8.6 13 $112 $20 2.33 $92 $10.67 18% 20.0 20.0 0% 20 5.58 LGND 35.0 8.5 $298 $53 1.51 $245 $6.99 18% 87.0 25.0 117% 20 23% 14.88 SEPR* 32.8 75 $2,460 $412 12.56 $2,048 $62.44 17% 70 40 7% 35 50% 70.29 PCOP* 19.5 12 $234 $39 2.00 $195 $10.00 17% 104.0 94.0 26% 62 60% 3.77 UTHR 11.5 30.0 $345 $57 4.96 $288 $25.04 17% 25.0 0.2 44% 0 VLTS* 19.6 6.25 $123 $20 1.02 $103 $5.23 16% 18.7 8.1 53% 0 OSIP* 21.4 6.25 $134 $21 0.98 $113 $5.27 16% 28.0 19.5 40% 0 CHIR 185 35.00 $6,475 $1,000 5.41 $5,475 $29.59 15% 600.0 662.0 -6% 662 110% 9.78 GLIA* 10.1 20 $202 $26 2.57 $176 $17.43 13% 31.0 36.0 -19% 36 116% 5.62 INCY* 27.9 28 $781 $100 3.58 $681 $24.42 13% 180.0 170.0 10% 170 94% 4.60 AVIR* 15.7 29 $455 $55 3.50 $400 $25.50 12% 56.6 5.0 94% 0 ABSC* 17 12 $204 $23.5 1.38 $181 $10.62 12% 47 43 17% 0% CEPH* 28.9 22 $636 $70 2.42 $566 $19.58 11% 74.6 30.0 64% 50 67% 12.72 ONXX* 11.4 9.0 $103 $10 0.88 $93 $8.12 10% 30.6 9.3 213% 0 MOGN* 14.6 13 $190 $18 1.23 $172 $11.77 9% 20.0 30.0 -56% 30 150% 6.33 PCYC* 12.3 44 $541 $41 3.33 $500 $40.67 8% 17.0 0.0 41% 0 TTP* 13.1 12.5 $164 $12 0.92 $152 $11.58 7% 11.5 0.0 96% 0 MLNM* 35.8 76 $2,721 $198 5.53 $2,523 $70.47 7% 139.0 160.0 -11% 0 0% LKST* 11.9 28 $333 $23 1.93 $310 $26.07 7% 23.8 8.0 69% 0 CORR* 24.4 22 $537 $32 1.31 $505 $20.69 6% 73.2 45.0 88% 45 61% 11.93 CELG* 17.2 26.0 $447 $21 1.22 $426 $24.78 5% 28.0 25.0 14% 25 17.89 ABGX* 14.9 43 $641 $26 1.74 $615 $41.26 4% 24.0 5.0 73% 0 PARS* 42.0 1.5 $63 $2 0.05 $61 $1.45 4% 6.1 5.0 48% 5 82% 12.60 SUPG* 20.4 22.0 $449 $13 0.62 $436 $21.38 3% 19.5 8.0 91% 5 GZMO** 12.6 8.3 $104 $1 0.08 $103 $8.17 1% 20.0 4.0 1600% 0 All numbers in Millions Sales is MY estimates for '99…. Feel free to "chip in" Please! Sls/Exp is my lame attempt to compare "sustainable" revenues to expenses,ie. 100% would supposedly be sustainable 0 Burn. Burn is % of current cash expected to be burned in 12 months. "TV" is technology value * means data is latest quarterly, otherwise data is a/o last quarter ** Don't worry about GZMO's burn… they have a 30mill line of credit from daddy! Note new column… mktcap/sales… we've got sales coming in!

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