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Politics : Idea Of The Day

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To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (28789)	9/14/1999 9:25:00 AM
From: Lee	Read Replies (1) of 50167

Hi Ike,..Re:.traditional Oil price run viv a vis this bull run, Oil has been as high as this just 18 months back, it was than all about the deflation and falling prices worries that created exactly opposite 'insanity'. From the looks of the charts below, the oil price run in the '90/'91 period may have contributed to a negative gain on the S&P and Comp but in the '96/'97 period, it looks like only corrections. But also in those time frames we had rising interest rates. However, in the long run it doesn't look to have had much affect. <g> bigcharts.com SPX vs COMP stls.frb.org GDP Chain Prices slight increase in '90 and '96? futures.tradingcharts.com crude - monthly futures.tradingcharts.com crude - daily Finally, I don't understand why the bond market was so happy Friday that the core PPI was negative when most of us use energy and food daily and that is increasing monthly? Also notice the trends on the 'Unit Labor Cost' and consumption charts below. Maybe these are the "pressures" Alan refers to frequently? stls.frb.org Too complicated for me! <g> Best, Lee

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