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Technology Stocks : LAST MILE TECHNOLOGIES - Let's Discuss Them Here

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To: Bernard Levy who wrote (5226)9/14/1999 1:53:00 PM
From: Charles R  Read Replies (1) of 12823
 
Bernard,

<http://www.smartmoney.com/smt/columns/tech/index.cfm?story=19990913

We are probably seeing the opening salvo in the
commoditization of switches, routers, etc... So,
what matters is not who is on first and who is on second,
between INTC, BRCM, IBM, ... but the fact that the
days of fat margins on high end networking equipment
may be coming to a close, as we move towards standard
architectures based on mass-produced highly
integrated processors. >

Thanks for posting the article. I think the article is a little too simplistic especially in the sense that Intel is an outsider to this market and trivializing the issue.

Regardless, the conclusion you have come to w.r.t. margins is something that is inescapable. Current levels of margins are not sustainable inspite of the decent barriers to entry (complexity, software content)

IMHO, the margin shrinking process is going to be gradual and the incumbants will have their usual advantages - the player to beat are going to be BRCM on the datacom side and PMCS on the Telecom side. These guys currently dominate the design wins scene and have a good idea where to go next. And, if they can't make the roadmap happen inside, they will go out and buy.

Chuck
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