BostonGlobe. Deal would make Bell Atlantic largest wireless carrier in US
By Peter J. Howe, Globe Staff, 09/14/99
ight months ago, Bell Atlantic Mobile and British wireless telephone giant Vodafone Group PLC were slugging it out in a $50 billion-plus bidding war for AirTouch Communications, the big Western US cellular phone carrier.
Now the two former combatants are apparently closing in on the deal many industry analysts think they should have done in the first place: give Bell Atlantic control of AirTouch's US operations to help the New Jersey-based carrier become a coast-to-coast competitor with AT&T and Sprint PCS.
Such a move, along with Bell Atlantic's pending merger with GTE Corp., would quickly turn Bell Atlantic into what by many accounts would be the number one US wireless carrier, with well over 20 million subscribers.
It would also allow Vodafone, Britain's largest carrier, to focus better on the European AirTouch operations it chiefly was seeking when it beat out Bell Atlantic with a $56 billion offer for AirTouch in January.
As soon as today, the Bell and Vodafone boards are expected to ratify a deal under which they will put their US wireless operations into a new joint venture controlled 55 percent by Bell, 45 percent by Vodafone, with no cash changing hands. The new venture could be worth $80 billion or more.
'Even when these two organizations seemed to be at each other's throats, given the market forces involved, they absolutely had to get together,' Andrew Cole, head of the global wireless group at consultants Renaissance Worldwide, said yesterday. 'There's really just no way they could not do this deal.'
In New York Stock Exchange trading, AirTouch's American depositary receipts rose 103/4 to 205 9/16, while Bell Atlantic shares rose 13/4 to 641/4.
Because AirTouch and GTE overlap in some key California, Texas, and other Western markets, antitrust regulators would probably require the new Bell-Vodafone AirTouch venture to sell a half-dozen or more big-city franchises.
As the number of US wireless subscribers climbs over 70 million and calling costs continue to drop, regional companies like Bell Atlantic are under intense pressure to expand and keep up with big national brands that can offer subscribers coast-to-coast calling without exorbitant roaming fees.
Wireless companies are moving quickly toward offering 'all you can eat' monthly calling plans with a flat rate for 200 to 600 minutes of calls. Companies like Bell Atlantic that have to make coverage deals with partners elsewhere in the country - and absorb roaming fees - are at a severe competitive disadvantage compared to AT&T, Sprint PCS, and Nextel, which also has a national network but features phones with two-way radio features that primarily serve a business and tradesman market.
'There's a race on to control customers and a race to control costs,' Cole said.
Atlanta-based analyst Jeffrey Kagan said that for Bell Atlantic and Vodafone 'it's in both of their strategic interests to put their egos aside and do a deal so they can both have a national footprint.'
Bell Atlantic and AirTouch are ideal candidates for a combination because their coverage areas - Bell in the East, AirTouch in the Midwest and West - fit almost as cleanly as two puzzle pieces. AirTouch chairman Sam Ginn observed earlier this year that he hoped to negotiate some deal with Bell because 'our assets fit so naturally together.'
Over the weekend, aides to Bell Atlantic chairman Ivan Seidenberg confirmed they were talking to Vodafone about 'a US business relationship' but cautioned that there is no deadline and 'no assurance that any transaction will result.'
Cole said the Bell-AirTouch talks are part of a trend that will likely lead to four to six 'super-wireless carriers,' all covering the United States. At least one is expected to be controlled by MCI WorldCom, which has lagged AT&T and Sprint in moving into wireless calling. 'We're not even halfway done with the consolidation we're going to see,' Cole said.
Analysts at the Yankee Group in Boston recently projected that US wireless phone use will quadruple between now and 2004, rising from 105 billion minutes in 1998 to 554 billion by 2004 (the equivalent of 80 million people each making 21/4 hours of wireless calls every week). Growth in faster wireless connections to the Internet will play a huge role driving up usage, analysts predict.
Vodafone has interests in 12 other international cellular networks, including France, Greece, the Netherlands, Malta, and Sweden, and operations in Australia, New Zealand, Egypt, and Fiji.
After their bitter battle for AirTouch, Bell Atlantic Mobile and Vodafone had remained partners in a US wireless operation called PrimeCo Personal Communications LP, which they broke up last month. It has 1.3 million customers.
This story ran on page D1 of the Boston Globe on 09/14/99. ¸ Copyright 1999 Globe Newspaper Company. |