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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 685.66+0.2%4:00 PM EST

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To: j.o. who wrote (25939)9/15/1999 3:43:00 PM
From: HairBall  Read Replies (3) of 99985
 
j.o.: Thanks for the kind words.

Regarding the lower band of the OMC multi-decade "rising" trading channel:

A - If the Market were to begin a measured correction from current levels at this time, taking approximately 18 month to retrace back to the lower band it would result in a 30 to 35% overall loss.

B - If the Market were to move down sharply from current levels at this time to the lower band say taking only a month or two, the loss would be more severe and would be in the 45 to 55% range.

One would then cross one's fingers and hope the lower band holds...<gg>

Of course, the top may still have more building to do, but I believe the risk to reward ratio is now large!

Regards,
LG
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